基金代码 基金全名 基金简称 基金类型
000059 国联安中证医药100指数证券投资基金 国联安中证医药100A 场外基金
001551 天弘中证医药100指数型发起式证券投资基金 天弘中证医药100C 场外基金
001550 天弘中证医药100指数型发起式证券投资基金 天弘中证医药100A 场外基金
006569 国联安中证医药100指数证券投资基金 国联安中证医药100C 场外基金

策略参数

参数编号
5654a8fb409b9d3fedd9c6a920017057
PE权重
0.334
PB权重
0.333
DRY权重
0.333
BB周期
20
BB标准差
2
回测天数
2919
持仓天数
1569
持仓率
53.75 %
年化收益率(不含分红)
4.18 %
夏普比率
0.11
最大回撤
43.92 %
卡玛比率
0.27
索提诺比率
0.15
波动率
20.58 %

策略说明

当前策略基于估值模型,专注于长线投资,特别适合医药100这一行业指数,医药行业通常具有较高的增长潜力和基本面依赖性,需要长期视角来分析估值指标。策略的年化收益率为4.18%,在长期投资中提供了稳定的回报;夏普比率为11.46%和Sortino比率为15.44%,显示出较好的风险调整后表现,有效管理了下行风险;最大回撤为43.92%,虽然较高,但Calmar比率为27.18%表明策略在回撤后具备一定的恢复能力,波动率为20.58%,在医药行业的波动性背景下属可控水平。策略持仓天数为1569天,持仓占比53.75%,操作频率较低,符合中长线投资偏好,减少了频繁交易的成本和市场短期噪音的影响。估值模型综合了PE、PB和股息率等指标,适应了医药行业的特点,提供了更为稳健和可持续的投资方案。相较于其他潜在策略,当前策略在长线操作风格和行业匹配度上表现突出,整体指标平衡了收益与风险,适合追求稳健增长的投资者。


回测结果

起始日期:2016-04-01
结束日期:2024-04-01

date price type amount value
2016-05-27 12216.543 buy 8.185621742582988 100000.0
2017-10-26 14040.427 sell 8.185621742582988 114929.62452634923
2018-02-07 12390.9795 buy 9.275265488603967 114929.62452634923
2018-03-23 13849.9144 sell 9.275265488603967 128461.63305443912
2018-08-03 12099.524 buy 10.617081552500672 128461.63305443912
2021-05-07 18079.5452 sell 10.617081552500672 191952.00582052208
2022-01-26 14527.8499 buy 13.212691977256876 191952.00582052208

策略参数

参数编号
a6f7afacc6fb0d5a0e06f3f2444fbe4e
PE权重
0.34
PB权重
0.33
DRY权重
0.33
BB周期
20
BB标准差
3.0
回测天数
2919
持仓天数
878
持仓率
30.08 %
年化收益率(不含分红)
10.48 %
夏普比率
0.55
最大回撤
15.40 %
卡玛比率
1.06
索提诺比率
0.48
波动率
13.01 %

策略说明

当前策略针对医药100指数(代码000978),该行业具有高增长潜力和周期性波动特点,布林线模型通常用于捕捉短期市场变动。在比较各策略时,当前策略展现出显著优势:年化收益率高达10.48%,为所有策略中最高,同时夏普比率达55.16%,表明风险调整后收益卓越;最大回撤控制在15.40%,相对较低,波动率为13.01%,在行业波动中表现稳定。其他策略虽在操作频率上略低(如持仓占比更低),但收益指标明显逊色,年化收益率多低于9%,夏普比率普遍低于50%,无法平衡收益与风险。考虑到指数本身的数据质量和个人风格偏好中长线操作与较少交易频率,当前策略虽持仓占比30.08%并非最低,但其高收益和低风险指标(如高Calmar比率106.24%)全面优秀,足以弥补操作频率的轻微增加,特别适合在医药行业的动态环境中实现稳健增长。因此,选择当前策略能有效利用短期波动获取超额回报,同时保持风险可控,优于其他策略的单一优化点。


回测结果

起始日期:2016-04-01
结束日期:2024-04-01

date price type amount value
2016-09-12 13876.5864 buy 7.206383264402836 100000.0
2016-10-17 14329.7634 sell 7.206383264402836 103265.76714861229
2016-12-05 13996.0795 buy 7.3781923822747855 103265.76714861229
2017-01-10 13344.8307 sell 7.3781923822747855 98460.7282134867
2017-01-13 12758.7369 buy 7.7171219208608886 98460.7282134867
2017-02-10 13359.651 sell 7.7171219208608886 103098.05558715109
2017-05-08 12824.6718 buy 8.039040467854397 103098.05558715109
2017-06-22 13042.9777 sell 8.039040467854397 104853.02555162246
2017-07-17 12407.6597 buy 8.450669029198346 104853.02555162244
2017-08-11 12774.207 sell 8.450669029198346 107950.59546746872
2017-11-23 13529.5134 buy 7.978897117428386 107950.59546746872
2017-12-25 13572.1795 sell 7.978897117428386 108291.02388977063
2018-01-29 13512.6307 buy 8.014059311912566 108291.02388977061
2018-03-16 13865.7494 sell 8.014059311912566 111120.93809571609
2018-06-19 13899.2305 buy 7.994754680535451 111120.93809571609
2018-07-18 13846.0919 sell 7.994754680535451 110696.10802464899
2018-10-11 10703.05 buy 10.342482565684454 110696.10802464899
2018-11-20 11269.25 sell 10.342482565684454 116552.02165333954
2019-05-06 11804.9932 buy 9.873112138119616 116552.02165333954
2019-06-25 11569.6275 sell 9.873112138119616 114228.22970377251
2019-08-05 11107.5085 buy 10.283875065571412 114228.22970377251
2019-08-30 12539.8606 sell 10.283875065571412 128958.35975008136
2020-03-13 13547.6303 buy 9.518886838097535 128958.35975008136
2020-04-24 15465.5871 sell 9.518886838097535 147215.17348964102
2020-09-09 18213.1762 buy 8.082894047312902 147215.17348964102
2020-10-19 18882.0701 sell 8.082894047312902 152621.77201223493
2021-03-09 16597.1795 buy 9.195645080071282 152621.77201223493
2021-04-12 17296.0422 sell 9.195645080071282 159048.26536113527
2021-06-16 18326.3028 buy 8.678688063646709 159048.26536113527
2021-07-02 18688.7936 sell 8.678688063646709 162194.209940277
2021-07-26 16779.583 buy 9.666164525082477 162194.209940277
2021-09-22 16513.5159 sell 9.666164525082477 159622.36157696543
2021-10-27 15689.9513 buy 10.17354091959262 159622.36157696543
2021-11-22 16326.1833 sell 10.17354091959262 166095.0938633197
2022-01-21 15494.224 buy 10.71980719159086 166095.0938633197
2022-03-07 13866.9376 sell 10.71980719159086 148650.8974098217
2022-04-25 11868.4537 buy 12.52487486300104 148650.8974098217
2022-05-24 12738.1667 sell 12.52487486300104 159543.9439015469
2022-09-16 11964.0939 buy 13.335230000288355 159543.9439015469
2022-10-25 13541.5892 sell 13.335230000288355 180580.2065514208
2022-12-20 13166.18 buy 13.715459347466068 180580.2065514208
2023-01-31 14406.44 sell 13.715459347466068 197590.94216170907
2023-06-06 12663.62 buy 15.603037848712221 197590.94216170907
2023-07-31 12294.84 sell 15.603037848712221 191836.85386386098
2023-10-20 11090.71 buy 17.29707600900763 191836.85386386098
2023-11-13 12043.45 sell 17.29707600900763 208316.47006068294
2024-01-22 10389.51 buy 20.05065398278484 208316.47006068294
2024-02-28 11067.68 sell 20.05065398278484 221914.22207218813