基金代码 基金全名 基金简称 基金类型
001469 广发中证全指金融地产交易型开放式指数证券投资基金发起式联接基金 广发金融地产联接A 场外基金
002979 广发中证全指金融地产交易型开放式指数证券投资基金发起式联接基金 广发金融地产联接C 场外基金
159940 广发中证全指金融地产交易型开放式指数证券投资基金 广发中证全指金融地产ETF 场内基金

策略参数

参数编号
5f489e8594e0c5bd25d0af289af395cf
PE权重
0.3
PB权重
0.4
DRY权重
0.3
BB周期
20
BB标准差
2
回测天数
2919
持仓天数
2041
持仓率
69.92 %
年化收益率(不含分红)
6.84 %
夏普比率
0.25
最大回撤
35.51 %
卡玛比率
0.39
索提诺比率
0.35
波动率
16.62 %

策略说明

当前策略在全指金融指数上采用估值模型进行长线投资,专注于2年内的估值指标,适合金融行业的周期性特点。其年化收益率达到6.84%,在所有策略中最高,夏普比率25.46%也表现最优,表明风险调整后回报显著。持仓占比69.92%意味着策略持仓时间较长,交易频率较低,符合中长线操作偏好。尽管最大回撤35.51%相对较高,但考虑到金融行业通常具有较高波动性,以及策略的长期估值基础,这一回撤在可接受范围内。其他策略虽然在最大回撤上略低,但收益率和夏普比率均不及当前策略,整体风险收益平衡较差,难以在长期投资中提供足够回报。此外,策略的参数设置如买入阈值0.3和卖出阈值0.65,结合PE、PB和股息率的加权,提供了稳健的价值防御特性,增强了在金融指数投资中的适应性。因此,选择当前策略以最大化长期回报并保持适中的操作频率。


回测结果

起始日期:2016-04-01
结束日期:2024-04-01

date price type amount value
2016-05-09 5027.7967 buy 19.889427907854746 99999.99999999999
2017-06-01 5474.8461 sell 19.889427907854746 108891.55681254971
2018-05-24 5553.3859 buy 19.608137949237367 108891.55681254971
2019-04-16 6476.31 sell 19.608137949237367 126988.37988202546
2019-05-08 5680.73 buy 22.3542361425425 126988.37988202545
2019-12-30 6251.02 sell 22.3542361425425 139736.77721175604
2020-02-03 5546.1 buy 25.19550264361552 139736.77721175604
2020-07-06 6634.03 sell 25.19550264361552 167147.72040282466
2020-07-24 5942.15 buy 28.129165437228053 167147.72040282466
2020-08-17 6436.14 sell 28.129165437228053 181043.246837161
2021-04-02 6150.33 buy 29.43634680369362 181043.246837161
2023-05-08 5170.79 sell 29.43634680369362 152209.16768907092
2023-06-26 4595.09 buy 33.12430609391131 152209.16768907092
2023-07-28 5071.84 sell 33.12430609391131 168001.18061934313
2023-10-30 4573.66 buy 36.73232829273342 168001.18061934313
2024-02-21 4620.75 sell 36.73232829273342 169730.90595864796

策略参数

参数编号
01c9069e3920fac32ac2e6c356d02ed1
PE权重
0.34
PB权重
0.33
DRY权重
0.33
BB周期
20
BB标准差
2.5
回测天数
2919
持仓天数
910
持仓率
31.18 %
年化收益率(不含分红)
7.98 %
夏普比率
0.39
最大回撤
18.63 %
卡玛比率
0.78
索提诺比率
0.35
波动率
12.03 %

策略说明

当前策略针对全指金融指数(000992)的回测结果显示,它在收益与风险之间取得了良好平衡,尤其适合中长线操作和较低交易频率的风格。金融行业指数通常具有较高的波动性和周期性风险,因此最大回撤的控制至关重要;该策略的最大回撤为18.63%,显著优于其他策略的23%以上水平,提供了更强的下行保护能力。年化收益率7.98%和夏普比率38.88%在收益和风险调整后回报方面表现稳健,波动率12.03%处于适中范围,有助于减少市场噪音对投资决策的干扰。持仓占比31.18%较低,表明交易频率较少,符合减少操作成本和保持长期持仓的偏好。其他策略虽然个别如年化收益率稍高,但普遍伴随更高的最大回撤、波动率和持仓占比,增加了风险暴露和频繁交易的不确定性。综合考虑指数的行业特性和个人操作风格,当前策略在风险控制、收益稳定性以及操作简洁性方面表现突出,更适用于追求稳健增长的金融指数投资。


回测结果

起始日期:2016-04-01
结束日期:2024-04-01

date price type amount value
2016-05-06 5039.0292 buy 19.84509238406477 99999.99999999999
2016-05-31 5194.4429 sell 19.84509238406477 103084.19923424932
2016-07-29 5085.7456 buy 20.269240214109278 103084.19923424932
2016-08-12 5594.9556 sell 20.269240214109278 113405.49904367591
2016-09-14 5324.0783 buy 21.300494217689455 113405.49904367591
2016-10-24 5444.636 sell 21.300494217689455 115973.43763542385
2016-12-15 5417.3691 buy 21.40770464309398 115973.43763542385
2017-01-20 5394.7523 sell 21.40770464309398 115489.26386105192
2017-03-22 5362.2571 buy 21.53743502172843 115489.26386105194
2017-05-25 5465.73 sell 21.53743502172843 117717.80472131172
2017-08-11 5720.4432 buy 20.578441320999698 117717.80472131174
2017-08-25 6110.9639 sell 20.578441320999698 125754.11203089746
2017-09-25 5990.8036 buy 20.991192572378345 125754.11203089745
2017-10-27 6095.9424 sell 20.991192572378345 127961.10082852622
2018-02-08 5958.4999 buy 21.475388600497624 127961.10082852622
2018-05-14 5768.6653 sell 21.475388600497624 123884.3290237062
2018-05-30 5431.1278 buy 22.810055956279687 123884.3290237062
2018-07-23 5142.677 sell 22.810055956279687 117304.75013507254
2018-12-20 4816.79 buy 24.353303784278022 117304.75013507254
2019-01-16 4952.08 sell 24.353303784278022 120599.50860404751
2019-05-06 5889.5 buy 20.477036862899656 120599.50860404753
2019-06-11 5862.99 sell 20.477036862899656 120056.66235681204
2019-08-02 5708.95 buy 21.02955225686195 120056.66235681203
2019-09-04 5920.36 sell 21.02955225686195 124502.51999943522
2020-01-23 5463.37 buy 22.788593853141048 124502.5199994352
2020-03-04 6130.75 sell 22.788593853141048 139711.17176514448
2020-03-16 5468.58 buy 25.547979871400706 139711.17176514448
2020-04-29 5548.34 sell 25.547979871400706 141748.8786396874
2021-07-27 5308.62 buy 26.701643485442055 141748.8786396874
2021-08-18 5602.7 sell 26.701643485442055 149601.2979558862
2021-11-02 5439.43 buy 27.503120355604576 149601.2979558862
2021-12-07 5643.03 sell 27.503120355604576 155200.93326028727
2022-03-08 5063.91 buy 30.648438313533866 155200.93326028727
2022-04-01 5460.83 sell 30.648438313533866 167365.91139569515
2022-04-25 4855.73 buy 34.467713689948816 167365.91139569515
2022-06-07 4919.89 sell 34.467713689948816 169577.3599060423
2022-07-14 4669.15 buy 36.31867896855794 169577.3599060423
2022-08-31 4707.65 sell 36.31867896855794 170975.62904633177
2022-10-24 4232.24 buy 40.39837746591209 170975.62904633177
2022-11-11 4548.48 sell 40.39837746591209 183751.2119361518
2023-03-10 4706.43 buy 39.042588955142605 183751.2119361518
2023-04-04 4737.37 sell 39.042588955142605 184959.1896384239
2023-06-21 4535.85 buy 40.7771839100552 184959.1896384239
2023-07-25 4799.8 sell 40.7771839100552 195722.32733148296
2023-10-10 4675.8 buy 41.85857550183561 195722.32733148296
2024-01-24 4413.68 sell 41.85857550183561 184750.35752094182