基金代码 基金全名 基金简称 基金类型
160225 国泰国证新能源汽车指数证券投资基金(LOF) 国泰国证新能源汽车指数(LOF)A 场内基金
014997 国泰国证新能源汽车指数证券投资基金(LOF) 国泰国证新能源汽车指数(LOF)C 场外基金

策略参数

参数编号
f7e6853bdf7e9425159c39bbec5d98d7
PE权重
0.34
PB权重
0.33
DRY权重
0.33
BB周期
20
BB标准差
3.0
回测天数
2692
持仓天数
894
持仓率
33.21 %
年化收益率(不含分红)
6.14 %
夏普比率
0.21
最大回撤
28.64 %
卡玛比率
0.49
索提诺比率
0.18
波动率
17.15 %

策略说明

当前策略基于布林线模型,针对新能源车指数进行回测,该指数属于高成长性行业,通常伴随较高波动性和增长潜力。在比较所有策略时,当前策略展现出最高的年化收益率(6.14%)和夏普比率(21.26%),表明其在风险调整后的收益表现最为突出,能够有效捕捉行业趋势并优化投资回报。虽然最大回撤(28.64%)略高于其他策略,但在新能源车这种波动较大的市场中,高夏普比率能更好地平衡收益与风险,确保长期稳健增长。持仓占比33.21%和持仓天数894天显示操作频率适中,符合中长线投资的偏好,避免了频繁交易带来的额外成本和不确定性,同时利用了布林线策略的中线特性来适应市场变化。其他策略虽然在最大回撤或波动率方面略有优势,但年化收益率和夏普比率普遍较低,未能充分利用新能源车行业的增长动能,或操作频率不够理想。因此,选择当前策略是基于其综合指标优越性、行业适配性以及投资风格的契合度,确保在控制风险的同时最大化收益潜力。


回测结果

起始日期:2016-04-01
结束日期:2024-04-01

date price type amount value
2016-12-02 2398.47 buy 41.69324611106247 100000.0
2017-01-10 2248.1 sell 41.69324611106247 93730.58658227953
2017-01-16 2133.05 buy 43.94204851376176 93730.58658227953
2017-03-09 2382.54 sell 43.94204851376176 104693.68826597795
2017-03-30 2353.42 buy 44.48576465993233 104693.68826597795
2017-04-10 2426.69 sell 44.48576465993233 107953.16024261118
2017-04-24 2183.3 buy 49.44495041570612 107953.16024261118
2017-06-22 2273.11 sell 49.44495041570612 112393.81123944574
2017-11-17 2612.06 buy 43.028801497456314 112393.81123944574
2018-01-09 2500.2 sell 43.028801497456314 107580.60950394027
2018-02-06 2158.78 buy 49.83398470614897 107580.60950394027
2018-03-07 2452.54 sell 49.83398470614897 122219.84085121859
2018-03-23 2377.91 buy 51.39800953409448 122219.84085121859
2018-05-17 2323.05 sell 51.39800953409448 119400.14604817818
2018-06-19 1986.34 buy 60.110628617546936 119400.14604817818
2018-07-25 1969.9 sell 60.110628617546936 118411.92731370572
2018-08-02 1798.12 buy 65.85318405540549 118411.92731370572
2018-09-27 1756.1 sell 65.85318405540549 115644.77651969758
2018-10-11 1504.54 buy 76.86387634738696 115644.77651969758
2018-11-08 1522.53 sell 76.86387634738696 117027.55765518708
2019-01-31 1505.13 buy 77.75245836252488 117027.55765518708
2019-03-08 1890.01 sell 77.75245836252488 146952.92382975563
2019-04-29 1752.78 buy 83.83991363990668 146952.92382975563
2019-06-25 1607.26 sell 83.83991363990668 134752.53959687642
2019-08-06 1548.48 buy 87.02246047535417 134752.53959687642
2019-09-17 1646.94 sell 87.02246047535417 143320.7710552798
2020-03-16 1857.81 buy 77.14501001463002 143320.7710552798
2020-04-21 1849.72 sell 77.14501001463002 142696.66792426145
2020-09-09 2253.62 buy 63.31886827604541 142696.66792426145
2020-09-22 2431.43 sell 63.31886827604541 153955.39589242506
2021-09-29 4835.74 buy 31.83698790514483 153955.39589242506
2021-10-21 5090.75 sell 31.83698790514483 162074.14617811606
2021-12-20 4871.23 buy 33.27170882469439 162074.14617811606
2022-03-02 4290.33 sell 33.27170882469439 142746.6105218511
2022-04-11 3671.77 buy 38.87678436335912 142746.6105218511
2022-05-24 3724.68 sell 38.87678436335912 144803.58118251644
2022-08-31 4027.35 buy 35.95505262331718 144803.58118251644
2022-11-09 3694.05 sell 35.95505262331718 132819.76214316484
2023-04-24 3019.35 buy 43.98952163318756 132819.76214316484
2023-06-19 3137.35 sell 43.98952163318756 138010.525695881
2024-01-30 2025.41 buy 68.13954986688177 138010.525695881
2024-02-28 2277.93 sell 68.13954986688177 155217.12482826598