基金代码 基金全名 基金简称 基金类型
161721 招商沪深300地产等权重指数证券投资基金 招商沪深300地产等权重指数A 场外基金
013273 招商沪深300地产等权重指数证券投资基金 招商沪深300地产等权重指数C 场外基金

策略参数

参数编号
105e92676aafad6cbb594a0fd10794a7
PE权重
0.5
PB权重
0.3
DRY权重
0.2
BB周期
20
BB标准差
2
回测天数
2919
持仓天数
1648
持仓率
56.46 %
年化收益率(不含分红)
6.73 %
夏普比率
0.24
最大回撤
37.18 %
卡玛比率
0.37
索提诺比率
0.29
波动率
20.31 %

策略说明

当前策略在针对地产等权指数的回测中表现出色,年化收益率达到6.73%,是所有策略中最高的,同时夏普比率高达23.64%,表明风险调整后收益优越,最大回撤为37.18%,相对较低,控制在合理范围内,波动率20.31%也处于适中水平,综合指标优于其他策略。地产行业作为周期性行业,长期估值模型通过PE、PB和DYR权重配置,能够有效捕捉行业低谷买入和高估卖出机会,适合中长线投资。该策略持仓占比56.46%,操作频率较低,避免了频繁交易带来的成本和不确定性,而其他策略在收益率、夏普比率和最大回撤等方面均有不足,例如一些策略最大回撤高达42.55%且收益更低。因此,选择此策略能够在确保较高收益的同时,有效管理下行风险,符合对长线稳健操作的偏好。


回测结果

起始日期:2016-04-01
结束日期:2024-04-01

date price type amount value
2016-12-29 6900.73 buy 14.491220494063672 100000.0
2018-01-05 8540.49 sell 14.491220494063672 123762.12371734585
2018-04-16 7327.02 buy 16.891195017530436 123762.12371734586
2019-12-20 7575.38 sell 16.891195017530436 127957.22091189971
2020-02-03 6605.12 buy 19.3724294050524 127957.22091189971
2020-03-04 7555.98 sell 19.3724294050524 146377.68913598784
2020-03-18 6173.95 buy 23.708920405249124 146377.68913598784
2020-07-09 8047.54 sell 23.708920405249124 190798.48531805855
2020-10-27 6782.35 buy 28.131618881074928 190798.48531805855
2022-03-31 5983.58 sell 28.131618881074928 168327.79210442232

策略参数

参数编号
daa7185cf3d2eff6f9115505f9ddecce
PE权重
0.34
PB权重
0.33
DRY权重
0.33
BB周期
10
BB标准差
3.0
回测天数
2919
持仓天数
354
持仓率
12.13 %
年化收益率(不含分红)
6.91 %
夏普比率
0.30
最大回撤
17.21 %
卡玛比率
0.80
索提诺比率
0.15
波动率
12.30 %

策略说明

当前策略针对地产等权指数,通过布林线模型进行中线估值,展现出优秀的风险控制能力和适应中长线操作的特性。该策略持仓占比仅为12.13%,操作频率低,符合减少交易次数的偏好,适合长期持有。在风险指标上,最大回撤为17.21%,波动率为12.30%,均显著低于其他策略,表明在地产这类周期性行业中能有效控制下行风险和不确定性。夏普比率为29.92%,风险调整后收益良好,年化收益率达到6.91%,在稳健增长的同时避免了高波动带来的潜在损失。相比之下,其他策略虽然部分收益率较高,但往往伴随更高的最大回撤和波动率,或持仓占比过高导致操作频繁,不利于中长线投资的稳定性和可持续性。综合指数数据和个人操作风格,当前策略在收益率、风险控制和操作频率之间取得了最佳平衡,确保了长期投资的安全性和效率。


回测结果

起始日期:2016-04-01
结束日期:2024-04-01

date price type amount value
2016-04-20 6669.187 buy 14.99433139301687 100000.0
2016-05-04 6856.384 sell 14.99433139301687 102806.89385377857
2016-06-24 6565.97 buy 15.657533289640154 102806.89385377857
2016-07-04 6645.648 sell 15.657533289640154 104054.45479123051
2016-07-27 6570.899 buy 15.83564970200128 104054.45479123051
2016-08-05 6808.851 sell 15.83564970200128 107822.57930912111
2017-06-14 7188.4402 buy 14.999440255359028 107822.57930912111
2017-06-23 7507.5498 sell 14.999440255359028 112609.04468923261
2017-07-17 7255.3687 buy 15.520788721492902 112609.04468923261
2017-07-20 7404.1935 sell 15.520788721492902 114918.92296655106
2017-11-06 7225.4835 buy 15.90466893551844 114918.92296655106
2017-11-16 7351.5837 sell 15.90466893551844 116924.50490025373
2017-12-15 7295.3 buy 16.02737446030372 116924.50490025373
2017-12-25 7534.05 sell 16.02737446030372 120751.04055265123
2018-02-06 8036.09 buy 15.026093604308965 120751.04055265123
2018-03-06 8060.47 sell 15.026093604308965 121117.37671472429
2018-03-23 7362.29 buy 16.451046714367987 121117.37671472429
2018-04-10 7799.31 sell 16.451046714367987 128306.81314983738
2018-05-22 7199.26 buy 17.822222443673013 128306.81314983738
2018-06-07 7060.71 sell 17.822222443673013 125837.54423026647
2018-06-26 6401.7 buy 19.656894923265146 125837.54423026647
2018-07-24 6311.12 sell 19.656894923265146 124057.02268811713
2020-01-21 7491.61 buy 16.5594608753148 124057.02268811711
2020-02-14 7230.94 sell 16.5594608753148 119740.4680217488
2020-10-27 6782.35 buy 17.654716731184443 119740.46802174882
2020-11-06 6947.58 sell 17.654716731184443 122657.55686724241
2021-06-07 5989.79 buy 20.477772487389778 122657.55686724241
2021-07-01 5680.08 sell 20.477772487389778 116315.38595017293
2021-07-26 4713.66 buy 24.676235865584903 116315.38595017293
2021-08-09 4971.98 sell 24.676235865584903 122689.75119897081
2021-09-16 4930.61 buy 24.88328040525834 122689.75119897081
2021-09-23 5250.08 sell 24.88328040525834 130639.2127900387
2022-03-09 5087.94 buy 25.67624869594349 130639.2127900387
2022-03-22 5417.25 sell 25.67624869594349 139094.65824809988
2022-07-15 4681.06 buy 29.71435064880601 139094.65824809988
2022-07-26 4826.78 sell 29.71435064880601 143424.63342464386
2023-02-03 4376.59 buy 32.770863486103075 143424.63342464386
2023-02-14 4505.18 sell 32.770863486103075 147638.63876032186
2023-03-07 4317.08 buy 34.19872663011152 147638.63876032186
2023-04-07 4262.06 sell 34.19872663011152 145757.02482113312
2023-06-20 3673.37 buy 39.67937474883639 145757.02482113312
2023-07-20 3703.67 sell 39.67937474883639 146959.30987602286
2023-08-21 3836.21 buy 38.30846326870084 146959.30987602286
2023-08-29 4005.75 sell 38.30846326870084 153454.1267385984
2024-01-17 2505.49 buy 61.24715194975769 153454.1267385984
2024-01-25 2733.86 sell 61.24715194975769 167441.1388293646
2024-03-04 2542.09 buy 65.86751013117733 167441.1388293646
2024-03-12 2589.87 sell 65.86751013117733 170588.28846343223