基金代码 基金全名 基金简称 基金类型
159861 国泰中证环保产业50交易型开放式指数证券投资基金 国泰中证环保产业50ETF 场内基金
012503 国泰中证环保产业50交易型开放式指数证券投资基金发起式联接基金 国泰中证环保产业50ETF联接A 场外基金
012504 国泰中证环保产业50交易型开放式指数证券投资基金发起式联接基金 国泰中证环保产业50ETF联接C 场外基金
021610 国泰中证环保产业50交易型开放式指数证券投资基金发起式联接基金 国泰中证环保产业50ETF联接E 场外基金

策略参数

参数编号
9a078ad36faf4f07a54a64e59a1c7cf2
PE权重
0.34
PB权重
0.33
DRY权重
0.33
BB周期
15
BB标准差
1.5
回测天数
2242
持仓天数
1452
持仓率
64.76 %
年化收益率(不含分红)
14.87 %
夏普比率
0.56
最大回撤
39.40 %
卡玛比率
0.58
索提诺比率
0.71
波动率
23.82 %

策略说明

在环保50指数(930614)的量化策略选择中,当前策略因其优异的综合表现脱颖而出。该指数代表环保行业,通常具有成长性高但波动较大的特征,需要平衡收益与风险。当前策略基于布林线模型,专注于中线操作,其年化收益率高达14.87%,远高于其他策略的5-6%水平,夏普比率达到55.62%,显著优于其他策略的13-22%,这表明在风险调整后收益方面表现卓越。虽然最大回撤为39.40%,略高于一些低回撤策略(如22.67%),但高夏普比率和Sortino比率(70.75%)有效补偿了回撤风险,整体风险收益比更优。从操作风格考虑,个人倾向于中长线投资和较少操作频率,当前策略持仓占比64.76%,持仓天数1452天,显示出较高的持有比例和较低换手率,符合减少交易频率的偏好。相比之下,其他策略虽然在波动率(如12.67%)和最大回撤上有所优势,但收益率和夏普比率偏低,可能导致长期收益不足,不适合环保行业的高成长性追求。此外,当前策略的Calmar比率(57.52%)和波动率(23.82%)在可接受范围内,结合行业特点,该策略能更好捕捉市场机会。因此,综合考虑指数数据指标和个人操作风格,当前策略提供了最佳平衡,是首选方案。


回测结果

起始日期:2016-04-01
结束日期:2024-04-01

date price type amount value
2018-03-22 1827.68 buy 54.71417315941521 100000.0
2018-05-23 1803.37 sell 54.71417315941521 98669.8984504946
2018-08-01 1447.95 buy 68.1445481200971 98669.8984504946
2018-10-08 1289.56 sell 68.1445481200971 87876.4834737524
2018-10-29 1172.1 buy 74.97353764504088 87876.4834737524
2018-11-22 1251.47 sell 74.97353764504088 93827.1331566393
2018-11-29 1277.56 buy 73.44244744406471 93827.1331566393
2018-12-06 1305.24 sell 73.44244744406471 95860.02010189103
2018-12-18 1266.15 buy 75.70984488559098 95860.02010189103
2019-01-14 1260.44 sell 75.70984488559098 95427.7168875943
2019-01-31 1288.23 buy 74.07661433718691 95427.71688759429
2019-03-08 1529.7 sell 74.07661433718691 113314.99695159482
2019-03-26 1476.63 buy 76.73892373282055 113314.99695159482
2019-04-11 1532.98 sell 76.73892373282055 117639.23530393925
2019-04-23 1536.06 buy 76.58505221406668 117639.23530393926
2019-06-03 1303.09 sell 76.58505221406668 99797.21568962814
2019-06-14 1300.13 buy 76.75941305071656 99797.21568962812
2019-07-08 1347.22 sell 76.75941305071656 103411.81645018636
2019-07-16 1350.5 buy 76.5729851537848 103411.81645018636
2019-08-02 1328.97 sell 76.5729851537848 101763.20007982539
2019-09-26 1383.97 buy 73.52991761369493 101763.20007982539
2019-11-11 1351.66 sell 73.52991761369493 99387.4484417269
2019-11-15 1356.37 buy 73.27458469424045 99387.44844172691
2019-11-20 1368.43 sell 73.27458469424045 100271.13993313946
2020-02-03 1541.08 buy 65.06549947643177 100271.13993313946
2020-02-27 1639.64 sell 65.06549947643177 106683.99556153659
2020-03-04 1719.59 buy 62.04036750710146 106683.99556153659
2020-04-10 1410.97 sell 62.04036750710146 87537.09734149494
2020-04-27 1463.45 buy 59.81557097372301 87537.09734149494
2020-05-18 1547.2 sell 59.81557097372301 92546.65141054425
2020-05-22 1485.03 buy 62.31971839662785 92546.65141054425
2020-07-16 1842.73 sell 62.31971839662785 114838.41468101804
2020-07-24 1820.95 buy 63.06511144238888 114838.41468101804
2020-08-07 1932.88 sell 63.06511144238888 121897.29260476463
2020-08-19 1887.41 buy 64.58442659769983 121897.29260476465
2020-08-31 1947.6 sell 64.58442659769983 125784.62924168019
2020-09-07 1894.97 buy 66.37816389794044 125784.6292416802
2020-09-22 1949.09 sell 66.37816389794044 129377.01547183673
2020-09-24 1877.94 buy 68.89305061494868 129377.01547183673
2020-10-19 2004.15 sell 68.89305061494868 138072.0073899494
2020-10-23 1970.47 buy 70.0705960455878 138072.0073899494
2020-11-17 2066.77 sell 70.0705960455878 144819.8057891395
2020-12-11 2206.92 buy 65.62077727744526 144819.8057891395
2021-01-11 2644.94 sell 65.62077727744526 173563.01865220605
2021-01-19 2646.01 buy 65.5942413869207 173563.01865220605
2021-01-28 2647.79 sell 65.5942413869207 173679.77640187475
2021-02-01 2681.03 buy 64.78098954576217 173679.77640187475
2021-02-18 2681.78 sell 64.78098954576217 173728.3621440341
2021-02-22 2599.55 buy 66.83016758440272 173728.3621440341
2021-03-29 2349.9615 sell 66.83016758440272 157048.32086189438
2021-04-09 2250.5538 buy 69.78207802092727 157048.32086189438
2021-05-07 2436.9783 sell 69.78207802092727 170057.40986590672
2021-05-12 2363.7308 buy 71.94449125336385 170057.40986590672
2021-06-08 2640.046 sell 71.94449125336385 189936.7663554782
2021-06-16 2684.5647 buy 70.75142065135483 189936.76635547818
2021-07-19 3226.1477 sell 70.75142065135483 228254.5330061009
2021-07-27 3182.4943 buy 71.72189845119311 228254.5330061009
2021-08-03 3553.5914 sell 71.72189845119311 254870.32152783315
2021-08-17 3344.2357 buy 76.2118296649465 254870.32152783315
2021-09-01 3668.3071 sell 76.2118296649465 279568.3958639139
2021-09-16 3587.6322 buy 77.92560114270182 279568.3958639139
2021-09-27 3579.9222 sell 77.92560114270182 278967.5894791036
2021-10-08 3498.5961 buy 79.73700921895603 278967.5894791036
2021-11-03 3887.1939 sell 79.73700921895603 309953.2158401697
2021-11-05 3890.5321 buy 79.6685923347528 309953.2158401697
2021-11-10 3844.4508 sell 79.6685923347528 306281.9835362143
2021-11-15 3688.8603 buy 83.02889202288694 306281.9835362143
2021-11-24 3738.9225 sell 83.02889202288694 310438.5925344425
2021-12-06 3666.7787 buy 84.66248386749997 310438.5925344425
2021-12-17 3552.3574 sell 84.66248386749997 300751.40106909414
2022-01-04 3390.9185 buy 88.69319656874505 300751.40106909414
2022-01-27 3226.8507 sell 88.69319656874505 286199.70343309257
2022-03-07 3145.2784 buy 90.99344065475812 286199.70343309257
2022-07-11 3524.8509 sell 90.99344065475812 320738.3111860207
2022-07-19 3568.657 buy 89.87647487164519 320738.3111860207
2022-08-19 3567.5006 sell 89.87647487164519 320634.3780304791
2022-08-24 3412.9825 buy 93.94550895894695 320634.3780304791
2022-10-13 3103.067 sell 93.94550895894695 291519.2086487126
2022-10-20 2980.8967 buy 97.79581045150361 291519.2086487126
2022-11-10 3019.3195 sell 97.79581045150361 295276.7975145287
2022-11-14 2984.6762 buy 98.930931775624 295276.7975145287
2022-12-09 2831.1156 sell 98.930931775624 280084.90427250485
2023-01-04 2757.91 buy 101.55694140581268 280084.90427250485
2023-02-03 2890.61 sell 101.55694140581268 293561.5103970562
2023-02-08 2906.44 buy 101.00380891986629 293561.5103970562
2023-04-04 2598.87 sell 101.00380891986629 262495.76888757286
2023-04-13 2619.79 buy 100.19725584400767 262495.76888757286
2023-04-19 2561.86 sell 100.19725584400767 256691.3418565295
2023-05-12 2565.03 buy 100.07342676558538 256691.3418565295
2023-05-18 2511.33 sell 100.07342676558538 251317.39883921752
2023-05-26 2434.41 buy 103.23544466183492 251317.39883921752
2023-07-05 2403.02 sell 103.23544466183492 248076.83823128254
2023-07-07 2436.34 buy 101.82357069673466 248076.83823128254
2023-07-11 2439.15 sell 101.82357069673466 248362.96246494036
2023-07-17 2379.68 buy 104.36821861130083 248362.96246494036
2023-08-11 2313.49 sell 104.36821861130083 241454.83007505833
2023-09-06 2090.46 buy 115.5032050721173 241454.83007505833
2023-10-13 1967.0 sell 115.5032050721173 227194.80437685474
2023-11-01 1872.44 buy 121.33622672921682 227194.80437685474
2023-11-16 1922.45 sell 121.33622672921682 233262.82907558288
2023-11-21 1878.02 buy 124.20678644294676 233262.82907558288
2023-12-27 1837.74 sell 124.20678644294676 228259.77971766097
2024-01-17 1816.56 buy 125.65496307177357 228259.77971766097
2024-01-19 1748.76 sell 125.65496307177357 219740.37322139475
2024-01-26 1694.59 buy 129.671704200659 219740.37322139475
2024-03-21 1807.07 sell 129.671704200659 234325.84650988487