基金代码 基金全名 基金简称 基金类型
159666 华夏中证全指运输交易型开放式指数证券投资基金 华夏中证全指运输ETF 场内基金
019404 华夏中证全指运输交易型开放式指数证券投资基金发起式联接基金 华夏中证全指运输ETF发起式联接A 场外基金
019405 华夏中证全指运输交易型开放式指数证券投资基金发起式联接基金 华夏中证全指运输ETF发起式联接C 场外基金

策略参数

参数编号
d2e50aeca69ae13df356f14f5088b02e
PE权重
0.5
PB权重
0.3
DRY权重
0.2
BB周期
20
BB标准差
2
回测天数
1926
持仓天数
668
持仓率
34.68 %
年化收益率(不含分红)
6.09 %
夏普比率
0.23
最大回撤
19.15 %
卡玛比率
0.97
索提诺比率
0.18
波动率
13.16 %

策略说明

当前策略针对运输指数(H30171)的长期估值模型,其年化收益率达到6.09%,显著高于其他策略的4.90%,同时夏普比率22.93%和Calmar比率96.57%也表现更优,表明风险调整后回报更高且回撤控制良好。运输行业通常具有周期性特征,估值策略能有效捕捉长期价值,适合中长线投资风格。尽管最大回撤相同为19.15%,但当前策略的波动率略低(13.16%),Sortino比率更高(17.88%),进一步强化了其稳健性。持仓占比和天数相近,但整体绩效指标更突出,因此选择当前策略以实现更优的长期收益与风险平衡。


回测结果

起始日期:2016-04-01
结束日期:2024-04-01

date price type amount value
2019-01-31 1406.18 buy 71.11465104040734 100000.0
2019-04-04 1815.59 sell 71.11465104040734 129115.04928245315
2019-11-15 1528.19 buy 84.48887198741855 129115.04928245315
2020-06-09 1479.94 sell 84.48887198741855 125038.46120906022
2022-03-15 1605.59 buy 77.87695564188878 125038.4612090602
2023-04-17 1754.18 sell 77.87695564188878 136610.19804788847

策略参数

参数编号
e4864c20f478b02ae71e321dc79f769e
PE权重
0.34
PB权重
0.33
DRY权重
0.33
BB周期
20
BB标准差
3.0
回测天数
2919
持仓天数
759
持仓率
26.00 %
年化收益率(不含分红)
8.86 %
夏普比率
0.48
最大回撤
11.24 %
卡玛比率
1.35
索提诺比率
0.37
波动率
11.42 %

策略说明

当前策略针对运输指数,该行业通常与经济周期紧密相关,表现出较高的市场波动性,因此风险控制至关重要。在评估所有策略时,当前策略展现出优异的整体表现,尤其是在风险指标上具有明显优势:最大回撤仅为11.24%,是所有策略中最低的,波动率也最低为11.42%,这表明该策略能有效减少投资组合的下行风险和短期波动,从而保护资本。夏普比率为47.74%,虽然略低于少数策略,但依然表明风险调整后的收益良好,适合稳健投资。此外,当前策略的持仓占比仅为26.00%,远低于其他策略,意味着操作频率较低,更符合中长线投资的偏好,减少了频繁交易带来的成本和心理负担。相比之下,其他策略虽然年化收益率略高,但往往伴随着更高的最大回撤(如超过17%)、更高的波动率(如超过13%)和更高的持仓占比(如接近50%),增加了风险并可能导致更频繁的操作,这可能会在运输指数的高波动环境中带来不稳定性。综合考虑指数行业的特性、投资风格对低操作频率的强调以及风险与收益的平衡,当前策略在风险控制和操作频率方面表现突出,更适合作为中长线操作的优选方案。


回测结果

起始日期:2016-04-01
结束日期:2024-04-01

date price type amount value
2016-12-12 1816.33 buy 55.056074611992315 100000.0
2017-01-05 1877.72 sell 55.056074611992315 103379.89242043022
2017-07-17 1894.52 buy 54.56785487639625 103379.89242043022
2017-07-21 1951.06 sell 54.56785487639625 106465.15893514166
2017-09-22 1946.58 buy 54.69344128427379 106465.15893514166
2017-10-20 2006.15 sell 54.69344128427379 109723.24723244586
2017-11-17 1960.36 buy 55.970968206067184 109723.24723244586
2017-12-21 1943.04 sell 55.970968206067184 108753.83006311678
2018-02-06 1896.14 buy 57.35537991030028 108753.83006311678
2018-03-09 1964.15 sell 57.35537991030028 112654.5694508163
2018-03-23 1822.78 buy 61.80371161128403 112654.5694508163
2018-05-03 1837.9 sell 61.80371161128403 113589.04157037892
2018-05-30 1825.71 buy 62.216366000284225 113589.04157037892
2018-06-06 1856.84 sell 62.216366000284225 115525.83704396775
2018-06-19 1720.43 buy 67.14939697864357 115525.83704396775
2018-07-24 1619.36 sell 67.14939697864357 108739.04749133624
2018-08-03 1497.89 buy 72.5948150340387 108739.04749133624
2018-09-21 1498.42 sell 72.5948150340387 108777.52274330427
2018-10-11 1374.32 buy 79.15006893831442 108777.52274330427
2018-11-02 1431.07 sell 79.15006893831442 113269.2891555536
2019-05-06 1639.66 buy 69.08096139172365 113269.2891555536
2019-06-19 1648.95 sell 69.08096139172365 113911.0512868827
2019-08-05 1518.77 buy 75.00217365821204 113911.0512868827
2019-08-27 1585.66 sell 75.00217365821204 118927.94668288052
2020-01-23 1375.15 buy 86.4836175565433 118927.94668288052
2020-03-05 1482.06 sell 86.4836175565433 128173.91023585055
2020-03-16 1385.42 buy 92.51628404083277 128173.91023585055
2020-04-14 1380.14 sell 92.51628404083277 127685.42425611496
2020-09-24 1554.7 buy 82.12865778356915 127685.42425611497
2020-10-13 1631.11 sell 82.12865778356915 133960.87499735746
2020-12-11 1597.07 buy 83.87915056782575 133960.87499735746
2020-12-31 1683.99 sell 83.87915056782575 141251.6507647129
2021-02-03 1574.36 buy 89.72004545638411 141251.6507647129
2021-02-19 1695.53 sell 89.72004545638411 152123.02867266294
2021-07-26 1555.56 buy 97.79309616643714 152123.02867266294
2021-08-23 1620.54 sell 97.79309616643714 158477.62406155805
2022-01-25 1714.79 buy 92.41809437981213 158477.62406155805
2022-02-08 1793.6 sell 92.41809437981213 165761.09407963103
2022-03-08 1634.65 buy 101.40463957399506 165761.09407963103
2022-04-01 1675.73 sell 101.40463957399506 169926.79667333074
2022-04-25 1512.01 buy 112.38470425019064 169926.79667333074
2022-05-20 1636.11 sell 112.38470425019064 183873.73847077938
2022-08-03 1604.82 buy 114.57592656545867 183873.73847077938
2022-08-22 1685.2 sell 114.57592656545867 193083.35144811097
2023-05-24 1605.1 buy 120.29365861822377 193083.35144811097
2023-07-25 1604.66 sell 120.29365861822377 193030.42223831898
2023-08-21 1543.36 buy 125.07154665037255 193030.42223831898
2023-11-20 1465.59 sell 125.07154665037255 183303.6080553195
2023-12-20 1411.35 buy 129.87820742928366 183303.6080553195
2024-01-15 1432.08 sell 129.87820742928366 185995.98329532854
2024-01-22 1357.47 buy 137.016643679292 185995.9832953285
2024-01-25 1438.86 sell 137.016643679292 197147.76792438608