基金代码 基金全名 基金简称 基金类型
001552 天弘中证证券保险指数型发起式证券投资基金 天弘中证证券保险A 场外基金
001553 天弘中证证券保险指数型发起式证券投资基金 天弘中证证券保险C 场外基金

策略参数

参数编号
9fda886f92ef123385f18a5e25ea82dc
PE权重
0.4
PB权重
0.3
DRY权重
0.3
BB周期
20
BB标准差
2
回测天数
2621
持仓天数
1347
持仓率
51.39 %
年化收益率(不含分红)
7.27 %
夏普比率
0.26
最大回撤
38.39 %
卡玛比率
0.39
索提诺比率
0.35
波动率
19.48 %

策略说明

当前策略针对中证证保指数,该指数属于金融行业,波动性较高,适合采用长线估值模型进行投资。在回测中,当前策略表现出最优的风险调整后收益,年化收益率为7.27%,是所有策略中最高的,同时夏普比率为26.41%和Sortino比率为34.77%,也显著优于其他策略,这表明其在控制下行风险的同时获得了良好的超额回报。波动率为19.48%,处于中等水平,与其他策略相比并不突出,但结合Calmar比率39.47%的最高值,显示了对回撤的有效管理。最大回撤为38.39%,在所有策略中相同,因此不作为区分因素。从操作风格来看,持仓占比为51.39%,持仓天数1347天,意味着持仓时间较长,操作频率适中,这符合中长线投资的偏好,减少了频繁交易带来的成本和风险。相比之下,其他策略在收益率、夏普比率等关键指标上普遍较低,尽管某些策略持仓占比略高,但收益表现不足,难以平衡收益与风险。因此,当前策略在数据优异性和风格匹配度上达到最佳平衡,更适合在金融行业指数中实施长线估值投资。


回测结果

起始日期:2016-04-01
结束日期:2024-04-01

date price type amount value
2017-03-22 903.471 buy 110.68423889643387 100000.0
2017-05-25 926.0759 sell 110.68423889643387 102502.00615183
2018-03-23 904.9714 buy 113.26546468963551 102502.00615183
2019-02-25 1030.519 sell 113.26546468963551 116722.2134064985
2019-11-20 947.1573 buy 123.23424356915002 116722.2134064985
2019-12-17 1029.6608 sell 123.23424356915002 126889.46982080588
2020-02-03 924.4975 buy 137.2523666324743 126889.4698208059
2020-02-20 1060.7536 sell 137.2523666324743 145590.942013917
2020-03-16 945.6435 buy 153.95964971357282 145590.942013917
2020-07-03 1250.2936 sell 153.95964971357282 192494.7646951219
2020-12-22 1125.3774 buy 171.04907624333126 192494.7646951219
2021-01-07 1197.8675 sell 171.04907624333126 204894.1293369086
2021-01-26 1144.2749 buy 179.0602322369464 204894.1293369086
2023-01-13 872.5 sell 179.0602322369464 156230.05262673573
2023-12-26 770.52 buy 202.7592439219433 156230.05262673573
2024-02-22 812.91 sell 202.7592439219433 164825.01697658692
2024-03-27 760.97 buy 216.59857415743974 164825.01697658692

策略参数

参数编号
3feaacc0a2605c1619febed0cc9d3cb5
PE权重
0.34
PB权重
0.33
DRY权重
0.33
BB周期
10
BB标准差
2.5
回测天数
2578
持仓天数
611
持仓率
23.70 %
年化收益率(不含分红)
12.07 %
夏普比率
0.64
最大回撤
13.22 %
卡玛比率
1.42
索提诺比率
0.52
波动率
13.71 %

策略说明

当前策略在回测中展现出卓越的风险调整后收益,夏普比率高达63.76%,最大回撤仅为13.22%,年化收益率达到12.07%,波动率控制在13.71%,这些指标在众多策略中表现突出。针对中证证保指数这一金融行业指数,该行业通常具有较高波动性,当前策略通过有效的风险管理提供了稳定的回报,确保了较低的向下风险和较高的收益潜力。相比之下,其他策略虽然在操作频率上可能更低,如持仓占比更高的策略,但它们在夏普比率、最大回撤或收益率方面存在不足,要么风险过高导致最大回撤超过24%,要么收益有限如年化收益率低于10%。考虑到投资风格倾向于稳健的中长线操作,当前策略虽然在持仓占比上不是最高,但其优异的指标组合更适合在金融板块中实现长期增值,平衡了收益与风险,并适应行业特点,因此被选为最适合操作的策略。


回测结果

起始日期:2016-04-01
结束日期:2024-04-01

date price type amount value
2017-03-22 903.471 buy 110.68423889643387 100000.0
2017-04-05 909.5194 sell 110.68423889643387 100669.4625505412
2017-04-18 877.8626 buy 114.67564804622181 100669.4625505412
2017-04-27 896.3053 sell 114.67564804622181 102784.39112476325
2017-05-05 870.7891 buy 118.03591836962963 102784.39112476325
2017-05-12 892.0971 sell 118.03591836962963 105299.50047338332
2017-08-11 990.4919 buy 106.3103095274008 105299.50047338332
2017-08-22 1013.699 sell 106.3103095274008 107766.65445761666
2017-10-20 1035.152 buy 104.10708230058644 107766.65445761666
2017-10-26 1058.182 sell 104.10708230058644 110164.24056299917
2017-12-27 1005.7932 buy 109.52971302947681 110164.24056299917
2018-01-08 1028.7854 sell 109.52971302947681 112682.5696309155
2018-02-09 911.3118 buy 123.64875515813085 112682.5696309155
2018-03-06 950.696 sell 123.64875515813085 117552.37693381438
2018-03-23 904.9714 buy 129.8962342166994 117552.37693381438
2018-04-09 934.7518 sell 129.8962342166994 121420.73874728137
2018-04-16 883.1633 buy 137.4839044458498 121420.73874728137
2018-05-03 896.3489 sell 137.4839044458498 123233.54651774256
2018-05-30 853.781 buy 144.33859094749423 123233.54651774256
2018-07-09 777.1545 sell 144.33859094749423 112173.3854785044
2018-08-02 748.6581 buy 149.83259444932793 112173.3854785044
2018-08-21 763.2608 sell 149.83259444932793 114361.3459054696
2018-09-10 738.2649 buy 154.9055710294091 114361.3459054696
2018-09-18 769.0608 sell 154.9055710294091 119131.80238033418
2018-10-11 712.4859 buy 167.20583857215163 119131.80238033418
2018-10-22 767.7953 sell 167.20583857215163 128379.85698825674
2019-05-06 957.7543 buy 134.04257959296737 128379.85698825674
2019-05-28 954.4451 sell 134.04257959296737 127936.2832838677
2019-08-02 952.4269 buy 134.32661686043065 127936.2832838677
2019-08-19 993.3348 sell 134.32661686043065 133431.3030937325
2020-01-23 916.4847 buy 145.59032255937552 133431.3030937325
2020-02-14 1013.4007 sell 145.59032255937552 147541.33479489695
2020-03-16 945.6435 buy 156.0221529518227 147541.33479489695
2020-04-07 926.5465 sell 156.0221529518227 144561.779739976
2020-05-22 894.1834 buy 161.66904881031786 144561.779739976
2020-06-01 939.878 sell 161.66904881031786 151949.18225774393
2020-09-07 1178.3602 buy 128.94968979582296 151949.1822577439
2020-09-18 1187.7035 sell 128.94968979582296 153153.99789441322
2020-10-26 1155.4641 buy 132.54760394062717 153153.99789441322
2020-11-09 1180.3061 sell 132.54760394062717 156446.7454715063
2020-12-22 1125.3774 buy 139.01713813650983 156446.7454715063
2020-12-31 1191.6956 sell 139.01713813650983 165666.11184187097
2021-01-26 1144.2749 buy 144.77824501950622 165666.11184187097
2021-02-18 1144.295 sell 144.77824501950622 165669.0218845959
2021-04-12 1002.2822 buy 165.29179295471465 165669.0218845959
2021-05-14 1028.9198 sell 165.29179295471465 170071.99854860638
2021-06-15 1018.5802 buy 166.96966871004008 170071.99854860638
2021-06-25 1042.9696 sell 166.96966871004008 174144.288586643
2021-07-02 984.351 buy 176.91279694605177 174144.288586643
2021-07-15 997.5839 sell 176.91279694605177 176485.3579373504
2021-07-27 944.2221 buy 186.91085279337395 176485.3579373504
2021-08-09 992.5936 sell 186.91085279337395 185526.51625324512
2022-01-06 1017.7457 buy 182.29162378504287 185526.51625324512
2022-01-20 1013.5205 sell 182.29162378504287 184756.29768442854
2022-03-07 871.8828 buy 211.90496897567948 184756.29768442854
2022-03-18 860.4347 sell 211.90496897567948 182330.3884090981
2022-04-26 782.2303 buy 233.09041903528677 182330.3884090981
2022-05-20 800.5564 sell 233.09041903528677 186602.02673738066
2022-08-02 767.8778 buy 243.0100554246791 186602.02673738066
2022-08-11 818.8281 sell 243.0100554246791 198983.46196428468
2022-09-16 772.5958 buy 257.55182977215856 198983.46196428468
2022-10-14 761.4034 sell 257.55182977215856 196100.83886474275
2022-10-25 719.7391 buy 272.4610054737095 196100.83886474278
2022-11-04 751.6038 sell 272.4610054737095 204782.72706586088
2022-12-19 787.95 buy 259.89304786580476 204782.72706586088
2022-12-30 795.92 sell 259.89304786580476 206854.0746573513
2023-02-06 851.54 buy 242.91762531102628 206854.0746573513
2023-02-20 869.04 sell 242.91762531102628 211105.13310029428
2023-05-23 834.71 buy 252.90835511769868 211105.13310029428
2023-06-08 834.58 sell 252.90835511769868 211072.25501412898
2023-06-21 793.16 buy 266.1156072093008 211072.25501412898
2023-07-03 824.84 sell 266.1156072093008 219502.79745051966
2023-10-23 846.22 buy 259.39211723962995 219502.79745051966
2023-11-06 868.73 sell 259.39211723962995 225341.71400958372
2023-11-27 825.99 buy 272.81409461323227 225341.71400958372
2023-12-29 781.05 sell 272.81409461323227 213081.44859766506
2024-01-22 744.64 buy 286.1536428309855 213081.44859766506
2024-01-24 788.18 sell 286.1536428309855 225540.57820652614
2024-03-25 770.62 buy 292.6741820956193 225540.57820652614